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Frantic's avatar

Talk is cheap when there's nothing at stake.

Put your money (crypto) where your mouth is! @ https://polymarket.com/

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Oldman's avatar

You should give probabilities to each prediction. There are online tools that can check if your probabilities were correct.

Some predictions are pretty fuzzy. Especially the growing movement to counter atomization. What is the threshold to say yes?

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Kristoffer O’Shaugnessy's avatar

Agree with you about the Mideast and Democrats retaking Congress in the midterms but you’re wrong about Russia and it’s economy collapsing. The German economy that of the EU is more likely to collapse first especially considering the policy of the German regime since Covid to deindustrialize the economy and abolish nuclear power. Ukraine will not win the war and will either be defeated or forced to accept a settlement largely in favor of Russia.

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