Predictions for 2024

-Ukraine War ends in a stalemate, Russia holds onto Crimea and large chunks of Eastern Ukraine,

-there is another massive exodus out of Ukraine after the war ends

-Ukraine agrees to not join NATO but eventually joins the EU

-civil unrest/anti-Putin protests break out in Russia, in response to stalemate and military causalities

-Putin wins re-election and cracks down hard on dissent

-Israel/Gaza war continues throughout 24’, civilian casualties reach 100k by Summer

-Israel negotiates arrangement to relocate Gazan refugees to the West

-Israel war escalates with Hezbollah while US fights proxy wars against Iran in Yemen, Syria and Iraq, though direct conflict with Iran is avoided

-US relies upon drone strikes due to declining military recruitment

-chaos in Red Sea causes oil and commodity prices to soar, though US is much less impacted than Europe

-Israel’s economy crashes, mass exodus from Israel to the West, especially among high skilled workers

-War between Armenia and Azerbaijan reignites, and Turkey and Iran get involved

-Egypt goes to war against Ethiopia over water rights

-Civil war and terrorism accelerates in West Africa’s Sahel

-famine, debt defaults, and civil unrest throughout much of the Third World

-US migrant crisis accelerates, especially among migrants from the Eastern Hemisphere (Africa, Middle East, and Asia)

-Biden admin further encourages open borders to f with Trump

-civil war ignites in Pakistan

-major financial crash in China

-Chinese invasion of Taiwan is put on hold

-civil unrest reignites in Brazil

-racialized riots break out in South Africa

-more nationalists/populists get elected to office in Europe

-a series of 2015-like terror attacks in Europe

-Argentina’s Javier Milei succeeds in bringing down inflation while causing a deflationary crash

-Netherlands and Denmark begin campaigns to leave the EU

-Trump wins the GOP nomination and is re-elected by a narrow margin

-Independent candidates, including RFK Jr, outperform

-Supreme Court rules in Trump’s favor

-Trump faces immense obstructionism, plus his own chaos and incompetency makes him a lame duck president

-Trump selects Vivek Ramaswamy for VP

-resurgence in mass civil unrest involving Antifa versus MAGA

-another major wave of social media and financial de-platforming around the election

-the rise in a new normie centrism that rejects both MAGA and wokeness, that is billionaire Astroturfed

-anti-Israel activism increases in scope, and more mainstream Democrats are pressured by progressives to call for a ceasefire

-pro-Israel Lobby shift’s towards the GOP

-Universities put forth modified versions of CRT that is inclusive of Jews

-increasing divide between the progressive Left and neoliberal center-left, due to Gaza and economic hardship/income inequality

-White identity politics is normalized amongst the Right

-The Right starts to come to grips with post-Americanism

-Trump also makes immense inroads among working class non-White men

-There is increasing interest in alternative institutions, alternative economies, neo-tribalism, and patronage networks

-Trump takes on the Admirative State, but it is messy and backfires against him

-US avoids a technical recession due to spending and migration propping up the GDP

-2024 starts off hyper-bullish for stock markets and the economy

-more regional banks fail in Spring, followed by more bailouts and bank consolidations

-inflation resurges in Summer of 24’ while markets remain bullish

-crash in commercial real estate begins in Fall

-Trump’s re-election is surprisingly bullish for markets

-major breakthroughs in AI help temporarily prop up the markets throughout 24’

-automation replaces new jobs, while mass layoffs are put on hold

-first major political or civil crisis that is caused by AI

-the rise in realistic AI pornography and AI GF simulators negatively impacts Onlyfans performers’ revenue

-the economic crisis gets blamed on Trump

-Europe’s economy crashes hard in 24’

-Canada enters a recession

-The big crash for the US economy is delayed

-US enters bull market in 2025 with severe recession or Depression at some point from 2025-28’

-certain Anglosphere nations have test pilot programs for Central Bank Digital currencies, while put on hold in the US

-social isolation is increasingly talked about as a major national health crisis by mainstream media and politicians

-backlash against atomization and technocratic control leads to a new embrace of exuberance, hedonism, and fun amongst younger Zoomers